Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.643274 4.061859 4.516502 5.048208 5.654506 6.326079 7.128686
2025-03-30 3.034158 3.593206 4.244844 5.065196 6.076900 7.292156 8.875054
2025-04-06 2.624594 3.246676 4.010093 5.025228 6.353681 8.052512 10.420928
2025-04-13 2.239155 2.862356 3.657601 4.760537 6.272313 8.303946 11.296063
2025-04-20 2.042851 2.688896 3.542630 4.772727 6.531953 9.007695 12.847579
2025-04-27 1.914020 2.586535 3.503832 4.872461 6.908248 9.899613 14.773121
2025-05-04 1.804791 2.497259 3.469132 4.966031 7.274588 10.805853 16.832205
2025-05-11 1.699830 2.402391 3.414112 5.018037 7.575021 11.634662 18.871085
2025-05-18 1.604682 2.312273 3.355569 5.054339 7.847614 12.440782 20.975508
2025-05-25 1.475973 2.161100 3.191228 4.906382 7.800935 12.704474 22.146436
2025-06-01 1.382966 2.056938 3.089984 4.848402 7.893971 13.210081 23.823668
2025-06-08 1.304740 1.969736 3.007899 4.812859 8.018366 13.779070 25.696964
2025-06-15 1.276228 1.960890 3.053231 5.000952 8.565667 15.202043 29.543294
2025-06-22 1.210386 1.887022 2.986226 4.988025 8.745816 15.954725 32.128300
2025-06-29 1.144889 1.809040 2.906120 4.943676 8.860457 16.590051 34.562509
2025-07-06 1.047889 1.672144 2.716043 4.683145 8.531704 16.288992 34.818187
2025-07-13 1.004456 1.623441 2.675173 4.694959 8.739180 17.122170 37.878845
2025-07-20 0.977897 1.601882 2.680095 4.792768 9.128816 18.391260 42.239130
2025-07-27 0.952103 1.579831 2.682191 4.884545 9.514642 19.701402 46.964715
2025-08-03 0.922137 1.548375 2.664686 4.935554 9.818277 20.863836 51.536561
2025-08-10 0.892051 1.514801 2.640780 4.971160 10.091274 21.989829 56.244607
2025-08-17 0.840584 1.439258 2.533097 4.826036 9.945486 22.084558 57.996369
2025-08-24 0.803769 1.388810 2.470156 4.769163 9.994720 22.667735 61.328110